Toluca Wvs
Tigres UANL W
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toluca W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tigres UANL W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 88.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00