Tlaxcalavs
CDS Tampico Madero
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tlaxcala 3-1 CDS Tampico Madero
Original prediction
CDS Tampico Madero
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.8% | 37.5% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.2% | 24.4% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 31.0% | 38.1% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
CDS Tampico Madero
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00