Thisted FCvs
Sonderjyske
COMPLETEDDenmark · DBU Pokalen · 9/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonderjyske · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thisted FC 0-2 Sonderjyske
Original prediction
Sonderjyske
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.78 | 11.7% | 38.4% | 26.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.17 | 17.6% | 23.0% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 1.28 | 70.8% | 38.6% | -32.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Sonderjyske
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Sonderjyske has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00