GGOALVIO

Tepatitlán logoTepatitlánvsMonarcas logoMonarcas

SCHEDULED

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Monarcas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 56.4-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monarcas

Probability

61.4%

Model confidence

61.4%

Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MonarcasWWLWD

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TepatitlánMonarcas
8.3Attack88.9
16.7Defence55.6
0.0Form66.7
13.0Power69.4
1.09xG2.34
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