Tepatitlánvs
Mineros de Zacatecas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tepatitlán 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas
Original prediction
Mineros de Zacatecas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.53 | 25.9% | 16.6% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.1% | 17.8% | -7.2 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 49.1% | 65.6% | 16.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–38%
Predicted outcome
Mineros de Zacatecas
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
65.6%
Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80