Tepatitlánvs
CDS Tampico Madero
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tepatitlán 3-1 CDS Tampico Madero
Original prediction
CDS Tampico Madero
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 06:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.67 | 19.7% | 23.3% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.34 | 21.3% | 24.7% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 59.0% | 52.0% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
CDS Tampico Madero
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00