Tepatitlánvs
Cancún
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cancún · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tepatitlán are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Cancún are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 13.0 against 13.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cancún holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cancún
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Cancún has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80