Tekstilshchikvs
Torpedo Moskva
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/4/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Moskva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tekstilshchik 0-1 Torpedo Moskva, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tekstilshchik 1-4 Torpedo Moskva
Original prediction
Torpedo Moskva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.83 | 15.8% | 13.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.7% | 25.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 59.5% | 61.5% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Projected Score
Tekstilshchik 0–1 Torpedo Moskva
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Moskva
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Torpedo Moskva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60