Tekstilshchikvs
FC Sochi
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sochi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tekstilshchik 0-1 FC Sochi, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tekstilshchik 1-3 FC Sochi
Original prediction
FC Sochi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.77 | 19.7% | 19.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.4% | 25.5% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 54.9% | 55.4% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Projected Score
Tekstilshchik 0–1 FC Sochi
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
FC Sochi
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TekstilshchikWLLLL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC SochiWWDWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TekstilshchikFC Sochi
23.8Attack54.8
47.6Defence66.7
23.8Form69.0
35.0Power64.9
0.48xG1.72