Tekstilshchikvs
Chelyabinsk
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelyabinsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tekstilshchik 2-1 Chelyabinsk
Original prediction
Chelyabinsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 30.7% | 24.9% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.2% | 26.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 40.1% | 48.3% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Chelyabinsk
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Chelyabinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20