Team Altamuravs
Sambenedettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie C · 9/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Team Altamura · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Team Altamura 2-2 Sambenedettese
Original prediction
Team Altamura
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.5% | 40.2% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.1% | 29.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.4% | 30.9% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Team Altamura
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Team Altamura has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80