GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Tartu Welco are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 4.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Viimsi are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Welco

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

10.1%

Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu WelcoWWLLW

GF 24 · GA 5 · avg 4.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
ViimsiWWWLW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Tartu WelcoViimsi
97.0Attack56.1
54.5Defence66.7
68.2Form57.6
70.4Power60.1
2.07xG1.41
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