Tartu Welcovs
Viimsi
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tartu Welco 1-3 Viimsi
Original prediction
Tartu Welco
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.1% | 47.4% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.8% | 21.0% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.0% | 31.6% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Tartu Welco
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00