GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 8/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Tartu Welco are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FCI Levadia II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Welco

Probability

70.6%

Model confidence

8.2%

Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu WelcoLLLLW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FCI Levadia IIWDWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tartu WelcoFCI Levadia II
97.0Attack65.2
54.5Defence42.4
68.2Form47.0
70.4Power52.0
3.67xG1.60
View match centre →