Tallinna Kalevvs
Viimsi
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tallinna Kalev 1-2 Viimsi
Original prediction
Viimsi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 32.2% | 25.9% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.5% | 22.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.3% | 52.1% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tallinna KalevLDLDL
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ViimsiLLLWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tallinna KalevViimsi
59.8Attack62.2
36.8Defence65.6
42.5Form55.6
46.7Power60.0
1.32xG2.32