Tallinna Kalevvs
Flora II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 9/18/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tallinna Kalev 2-2 Flora II
Original prediction
Flora II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 40.8% | 33.4% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.3% | 18.4% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 35.9% | 48.2% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80