Tallinna Kalevvs
FCI Levadia II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 10/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCI Levadia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tallinna Kalev 1-2 FCI Levadia II
Original prediction
FCI Levadia II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.2% | 38.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 22.8% | 19.2% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.0% | 42.2% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
FCI Levadia II
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
FCI Levadia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60