Switzerlandvs
FYR Macedonia
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Nations League · 10/6/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Switzerland · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Switzerland 3-0 FYR Macedonia
Original prediction
Switzerland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.08 | 88.1% | 66.5% | -21.6 pts |
| Draw | 10.69 | 8.9% | 19.0% | 10.2 pts |
| Away | 31.71 | 3.0% | 14.5% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Switzerland
Probability
66.5%
Model confidence
66.5%
Switzerland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 0 · GA 11 · avg 0.00/2.20