Super Nova 2vs
Smiltene
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Super Nova 2 0-2 Smiltene
Original prediction
Super Nova 2
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.0% | 66.1% | 15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.3% | 17.0% | -6.3 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 25.7% | 16.9% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Super Nova 2
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
Super Nova 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60