Super Nova 2vs
Metta / LU
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metta / LU · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Super Nova 2 1-3 Metta / LU
Original prediction
Metta / LU
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 28.67 | 3.2% | 6.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 9.73 | 9.3% | 12.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.03 | 87.5% | 81.1% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Metta / LU
Probability
81.1%
Model confidence
81.1%
Metta / LU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 22 · GA 3 · avg 4.40/0.60