Stoke Cityvs
Hull City
SCHEDULEDEngland · League Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stoke City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Stoke City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Hull City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Stoke City hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the League Cup, while Stoke City holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stoke City
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
10.3%
Stoke City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80