Stoke Cityvs
Bristol City
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stoke City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stoke City 0-0 Bristol City
Original prediction
Stoke City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 39.0% | 44.7% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.9% | 27.5% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 32.1% | 27.8% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Stoke City
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Stoke City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60