Stoke Cityvs
Birmingham
SCHEDULEDEngland · Championship · 11/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 03:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Birmingham
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Birmingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Stoke CityWLWWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BirminghamWWWDW
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Stoke CityBirmingham
54.5Attack60.6
51.5Defence66.7
57.6Form60.6
55.9Power63.3
1.15xG1.64