GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stirling Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Stirling Albion 3-2 Rangers U21

Original prediction

Stirling Albion

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1941.5%43.2%1.7 pts
Draw3.8823.4%24.7%1.3 pts
Away2.5835.1%32.2%-3.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–19%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Stirling Albion

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Stirling Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stirling AlbionLLWDL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Rangers U21LWLLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Stirling AlbionRangers U21
100.0Attack83.3
50.0Defence66.7
100.0Form50.0
87.5Power62.5
2.16xG1.62
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