Mortonvs
Kelty Hearts
SCHEDULEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 11/3/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 08:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Morton
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Morton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MortonWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kelty HeartsLLWWL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MortonKelty Hearts
50.0Attack83.3
50.0Defence16.7
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power51.3
2.53xG2.17