GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stirling Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 3-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Stirling Albion 1-1 Cumbernauld Colts

Original prediction

Stirling Albion

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5657.5%59.6%2.1 pts
Draw4.3420.7%20.4%-0.3 pts
Away4.1321.8%20.0%-1.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.3–07%

Predicted outcome

Stirling Albion

Probability

59.6%

Model confidence

59.6%

Stirling Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stirling AlbionDLWLL

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cumbernauld ColtsLWDLW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Stirling AlbionCumbernauld Colts
100.0Attack11.1
44.4Defence11.1
100.0Form11.1
85.2Power16.6
3.18xG1.22
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