Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stevenage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stevenage 0-3 Reading
Original prediction
Stevenage
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Stevenage
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Stevenage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StevenageLDWWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ReadingDLDWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
StevenageReading
66.7Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form66.7
80.3Power74.3
1.55xG1.38