St Patrick's Athl.vs
Bohemians
COMPLETEDIreland · FAI Cup · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St Patrick's Athl. 1-1 Bohemians
Original prediction
St Patrick's Athl.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.7% | 41.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.6% | 26.3% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.7% | 32.0% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
St Patrick's Athl.
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80