St. Louis Cityvs
Vancouver Whitecaps
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/15/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Louis City 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps
Original prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 42.7% | 35.2% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.9% | 27.7% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 32.4% | 37.2% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80