St. Louis Cityvs
Los Angeles Galaxy
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Louis City 6-2 Los Angeles Galaxy
Original prediction
St. Louis City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 63.0% | 49.4% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.70 | 19.9% | 25.9% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 5.50 | 17.1% | 24.7% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80