Sportlust '46vs
Blauw Geel
COMPLETEDNetherlands · KNVB Beker · 9/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportlust '46 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportlust '46 3-1 Blauw Geel
Original prediction
Sportlust '46
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.5% | 40.1% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.9% | 27.7% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.6% | 32.2% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Sportlust '46
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Sportlust '46 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40