Sportist Svogevs
Marek
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportist Svoge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportist Svoge 0-0 Marek, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportist Svoge 0-0 Marek
Original prediction
Sportist Svoge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.9% | 37.5% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.6% | 30.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.6% | 31.9% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Projected Score
Sportist Svoge 0–0 Marek
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Sportist Svoge
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Sportist Svoge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sportist SvogeLLWDD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MarekWLLLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sportist SvogeMarek
20.0Attack40.0
73.3Defence60.0
33.3Form40.0
45.2Power48.5
0.94xG0.84