Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Vancouver Whitecaps
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (14%), 0-4 (14%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Kansas City 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps
Original prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.66 | 14.1% | 5.4% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.10 | 18.5% | 9.6% | -8.9 pts |
| Away | 1.40 | 67.4% | 85.0% | 17.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–314%
- 2.0–414%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
85.0%
Model confidence
85.0%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00