GGOALVIO

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 8/14/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting CP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sporting CP are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vitória SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting CP hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Primeira Liga, while Sporting CP holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting CP

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

13.3%

Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CPDWWWW

GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vitória SCLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting CPVitória SC
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.55xG1.14
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