Sporting CPvs
Vitória SC
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 8/14/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting CP are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vitória SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting CP hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Primeira Liga, while Sporting CP holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
13.3%
Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60