Sporting CPvs
Academico Viseu
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 10/25/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting CP 1-2 Academico Viseu
Original prediction
Sporting CP
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 78.0% | 58.7% | -19.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.89 | 13.7% | 22.0% | 8.3 pts |
| Away | 11.48 | 8.2% | 19.4% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60