GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 9/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sport Boys · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sport Huancayo 2-1 Sport Boys

Original prediction

Sport Boys

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7752.3%33.9%-18.4 pts
Draw3.5625.9%27.6%1.7 pts
Away4.2521.8%38.5%16.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

16.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0015%
  2. 2.1115%
  3. 3.0114%

Predicted outcome

Sport Boys

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Sport Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sport HuancayoWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sport BoysWDWDD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Sport HuancayoSport Boys
43.1Attack36.1
43.1Defence68.1
36.1Form47.2
42.8Power51.9
0.86xG1.16
Sport Huancayo vs Sport Boys match centre →