Sport Boysvs
Sporting Cristal
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 8/30/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Boys · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sport Boys 1-0 Sporting Cristal
Original prediction
Sport Boys
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.9% | 40.7% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.7% | 27.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 35.4% | 31.9% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Sport Boys
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Sport Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20