Sport Boysvs
FC Cajamarca
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/25/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Boys · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sport Boys 4-2 FC Cajamarca
Original prediction
Sport Boys
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.5% | 49.1% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.2% | 26.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.79 | 19.3% | 24.7% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Sport Boys
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Sport Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80