GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hearts U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Spartans are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hearts U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hearts U21 hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Challenge Cup, while Hearts U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hearts U21

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

10.2%

Hearts U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SpartansDWWLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hearts U21LWLLL

GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
SpartansHearts U21
0.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
7.0Power45.3
1.63xG1.91
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