Spartansvs
Hamilton Academical
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartans 0-4 Hamilton Academical
Original prediction
Spartans
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 26.8% | 47.1% | 20.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.2% | 23.3% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 50.0% | 29.6% | -20.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Spartans
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20