Spartansvs
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartans 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Original prediction
Spartans
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.3% | 51.6% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.6% | 22.7% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.51 | 20.1% | 25.6% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Spartans
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00