Spartak Plevenvs
Vihren
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vihren · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Pleven 0-2 Vihren
Original prediction
Vihren
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 29.6% | 31.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.1% | 27.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.3% | 41.5% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Vihren
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Vihren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Spartak PlevenLLDWW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VihrenDWDWD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak PlevenVihren
40.0Attack60.0
53.3Defence60.0
46.7Form60.0
48.6Power62.4
1.11xG1.36