Spartak Nalchikvs
Nart Cherkessk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Nalchik · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Spartak Nalchik 0-0 Nart Cherkessk, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Nalchik 0-1 Nart Cherkessk
Original prediction
Spartak Nalchik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 53.2% | 43.3% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 24.1% | 29.0% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 4.01 | 22.8% | 27.6% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Projected Score
Spartak Nalchik 0–0 Nart Cherkessk
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Nalchik
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Spartak Nalchik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80