Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pobeda · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 15:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Pobeda
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Pobeda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DruzhbaWLWWD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PobedaLWWWW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DruzhbaPobeda
45.3Attack63.9
61.3Defence55.6
52.0Form58.3
53.9Power58.5
1.27xG1.37