Spartak Nalchikvs
Astrakhan
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Nalchik · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Nalchik 2-1 Astrakhan
Original prediction
Spartak Nalchik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.8% | 46.8% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.0% | 27.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 26.1% | 25.5% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Nalchik
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Spartak Nalchik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40