Spartak Kostromavs
Ural
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/26/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Spartak Kostroma 0-0 Ural, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Kostroma 1-2 Ural
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.54 | 26.7% | 31.1% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 29.6% | 33.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 43.7% | 36.0% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Spartak Kostroma 0–0 Ural
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Spartak KostromaWWWWW
GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
UralWDLWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak KostromaUral
45.5Attack54.5
75.8Defence84.8
72.7Form66.7
66.7Power68.7
0.71xG0.73