Spartak Kostromavs
Rotor Volgograd
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 8/31/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Kostroma · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Kostroma 1-0 Rotor Volgograd
Original prediction
Spartak Kostroma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.7% | 44.7% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.8% | 26.8% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.4% | 28.5% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Kostroma
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Spartak Kostroma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40