Spartak Kostromavs
Rotor Volgograd
SCHEDULEDRussia · First League · 8/31/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Spartak Kostroma are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Rotor Volgograd are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Kostroma hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the First League, favouring a draw with 12.2% confidence, a 49% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.7%
Model confidence
12.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40