Spaerivs
Torpedo Kutaisi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Kutaisi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spaeri 3-3 Torpedo Kutaisi
Original prediction
Torpedo Kutaisi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.1% | 28.1% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.1% | 24.4% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 39.8% | 47.5% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Kutaisi
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Torpedo Kutaisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80