Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spaeri · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spaeri 3-4 Samgurali
Original prediction
Spaeri
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Spaeri
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Spaeri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SpaeriDLLWL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SamguraliLWWDW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SpaeriSamgurali
42.9Attack42.9
55.6Defence41.3
36.5Form44.4
46.1Power45.1
1.61xG1.05