Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rustavi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Spaeri 0-1 Rustavi, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Spaeri 1-1 Rustavi
Original prediction
Rustavi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.17 | 28.2% | 24.3% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.2% | 27.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 43.6% | 47.9% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Spaeri 0–1 Rustavi
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Rustavi
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Rustavi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SpaeriDLLDL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RustaviLDWWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SpaeriRustavi
44.4Attack41.7
48.6Defence72.2
33.3Form58.3
43.4Power59.0
0.76xG1.24