GGOALVIO

England · League Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Ham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Southampton are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while West Ham are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and West Ham hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the League Cup, while West Ham holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Ham

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

12.0%

West Ham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SouthamptonWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
West HamWDDWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SouthamptonWest Ham
33.3Attack55.6
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power53.6
1.47xG1.63
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